PlanB’s Bitcoin price prediction for July 2025 is:

Around $125,000 by the end of July,
based on RSI trends and historical patterns.

Supporting points from the video:

• (11:00): If RSI returns to 75 in July (as it did in prior bull markets), Bitcoin could close the month at ~$125K.
• He also believes that in the following months, we’ll enter “hot FOMO bull months” with RSI above 80 — potentially pushing the price significantly higher.
• Longer term, the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model still targets a $500,000 average by late 2026, though PlanB emphasizes that it’s a range (roughly $50K–$1M).

In short:
→ Short-term target (July 2025): ~$125K
→ Mid/long-term (2026): $200K–$500K range

Here’s a 7-point summary of the video “PlanB Bitcoin Prediction July 2025”, with key timestamps:

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✅ 7 Key Takeaways with Timestamps

1. 📈 New All-Time Monthly High – More Upside Expected
   (00:01–00:34)
   Bitcoin ended June 2025 at ~$107,000 – a new monthly ATH. PlanB believes we’re still early in the cycle and have almost 3 years to reach the S2F target of $500,000.
2. 🧠 40% Doubt $200K – Diverging Market Sentiment
   (00:34–01:34 & 16:52–17:23)
   40% of investors don’t believe Bitcoin will pass $200,000 by 2026, citing diminishing returns. PlanB thinks that’s a key market debate—whether the bull continues or tops soon.
3. 🔄 ETF Rotation Suppressing Short-Term Price
   (02:01–03:40)
   Investors are shifting Bitcoin from self-custody into ETFs and treasury companies. This rotation is not new demand, which explains why price growth feels slow despite strong fundamentals.
4. 🇪🇺 European Regulation Fuels ETF Preference
   (03:10–03:40)
   Stricter crypto regulations in Europe (e.g. MiCA) make self-custody harder, pushing European investors toward ETFs and contributing to subdued momentum.
5. 📊 Market Cycle Models: Bull Market Is On
   (04:09–06:43)
   PlanB’s on-chain models confirm a bull phase, but warn of potential fakeouts. Historical data (2013, 2021) show how red (bullish) phases can turn yellow (distribution) briefly before surging again.
6. 📉 RSI at 70 – Bullish for Bitcoin, Not Traditional Assets
   (07:17–11:00)
   Traditional finance sees RSI 70 as overbought, but for Bitcoin, RSI peaks at 90+ during strong bull runs. PlanB expects RSI to climb toward 75 and price to hit ~$125K in July.
7. 📐 Supportive Metrics Confirm Bullish Structure
   (12:03–15:17)
   Key metrics show strong support:
   • 200-week MA ≈ $50K
   • 2-year realized price ≈ $84K
   • Short-term realized ≈ $99K
     With BTC above all these, the structure resembles classic bull market behavior.